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Person

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Head of State, Head of Government

Salva Kiir Mayardit
jenny.rockett@journalist.com · Photo Credit: Jenny Rockett · CC BY-SA · Original

Person Active

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Age
74 years
Born
Sep 13, 1951
Official · en
Salva Kiir Mayardit

Leadership

Head of State

Head of state · Principal · Order 0 · De jure

Aug 9, 2026

Head of Government

Head of government · Principal · Order 0 · De jure

Aug 9, 2026

Power-role history

ActiveAug 9, 2026

Candidacy

Independent media clusters

Candidate–opponent strategy evidence

A directional comparison and factual public-message frame for each sourced pair in the same contest.

Preliminary evidence scenario, not a prediction or guarantee of an electoral result. It uses public sources, makes no causal claim and uses no demographic microtargeting. Methodology

There is not enough compatible, sourced evidence to publish a pairwise analysis for this contest yet.

Polls

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Forecasts

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Top issues

Conflicting

Sources conflict and no single current value is published.

one_or_more_blocks_conflicting

Prediction components

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Media profile

Approval · Favorability · Negativity

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Media profile

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Strengths · Weaknesses · Attacks · Controversies

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Campaign signals

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Electoral history

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Sources

3

  1. 1WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  2. 2Wikimedia CommonsCC BY-SA 3.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  3. 3Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026