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M49 728

South Sudan

South Sudan

ConflictingSovereign state

South Sudan

Primary executive

Complete

Indexed party landscape

Parties and alliances currently indexed for this jurisdiction. Active and historical labels reflect the source dataset, not an official national register.

Partial
Tracked parties
2
Active in source
2
Historical in source
0
parties shown
2

Prediction components

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

100.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Other and unresolved100.0%100.0%100%

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Elections

Partial

2026 South Sudanese general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Dec 22, 2026

Scheduled

2010 South Sudanese general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Apr 11, 2010

Completed

Candidates

Partial

Forecasts

Partial

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · Preliminary

100.0%
Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Sources

4

  1. 1Inter-American Development Bank Database of Political Institutions 2023CC-BY-4.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  2. 2WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  3. 3Wikimedia CommonsCC BY-SA 3.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  4. 4Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026

Political world map

Eastern Africa