South Sudan · Scheduled

2026 South Sudanese general election

Name: 2026 South Sudanese general election
Start: 2026-12-22T00:00:00.000Z
Location: South Sudan

Dec 22, 2026

Elections

Partial

Jurisdiction: South Sudan
Next national election: Dec 22, 2026
Role: Parliamentary election · Legislative
Selection method: Other method
Status: Scheduled
Round: —

Dataset hash: 465f086f7f0a2cf932282d933a6aaf3d2bc14b01d3d64bd496a577613defcb37Wikidata

Contest rounds

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Published contest rules

No additional contest rules are published.

Candidates

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Candidate

Wikidata

Mentioned

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidate

Affiliated party: Sudan People's Liberation Movement

Wikidata

Mentioned

Election results

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Signal

Peter Mayen Majongdit

2026 South Sudanese general election · Scheduled

Aug 9, 2026 · Dec 22, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Salva Kiir Mayardit

2026 South Sudanese general election · Scheduled

Aug 9, 2026 · Dec 22, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Polls

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Forecasts

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · Preliminary

100.0%

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6f

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d9aee73e049b52afeef2c673dce60d6fa9edd220bca9b44a17d21ed3f615b889Wikidata

Top issues

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Prediction components

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

100.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Other and unresolved100.0%100.0%100%

Peter Mayen Majongdit

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Salva Kiir Mayardit

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Media profile

Approval · Favorability · Negativity

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Media profile

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Strengths · Weaknesses · Attacks · Controversies

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Campaign signals

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

licensed_commons_asset

Sources

1Wikimedia CommonsCC BY-SA 3.0 · Aug 9, 2026
2Party FactsCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
3WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
4Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026