Preliminary evidence scenario, not a prediction or guarantee of an electoral result. It uses public sources, makes no causal claim and uses no demographic microtargeting. Methodology

There is not enough compatible, sourced evidence to publish a pairwise analysis for this contest yet.

Election results

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Signal

Alex Anisi

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Charlie Benjamin

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

David Arore

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Francis Marus

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Havila Kavo

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Jeffery Kuave

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Joseph Lelang

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Julie Soso

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Nixon Duban

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Peter O'Neill

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Puri Ruing

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Ron Ganarafo

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Sali Subam

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Sani Rambi

2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Polls

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Forecasts

Alex Anisi

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Alex Anisi

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Charlie Benjamin

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Charlie Benjamin

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

David Arore

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

David Arore

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Francis Marus

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Francis Marus

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Havila Kavo

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Havila Kavo

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Jeffery Kuave

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Jeffery Kuave

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Joseph Lelang

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Joseph Lelang

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Julie Soso

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Julie Soso

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Nixon Duban

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Nixon Duban

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Peter O'Neill

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Peter O'Neill

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Puri Ruing

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Puri Ruing

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Ron Ganarafo

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Ron Ganarafo

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Sali Subam

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Sali Subam

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Sani Rambi

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Sani Rambi

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · Preliminary

100.0%

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Alex Anisi

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Alex Anisi

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Charlie Benjamin

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Charlie Benjamin

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

David Arore

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

David Arore

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Francis Marus

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Francis Marus

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Havila Kavo

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Havila Kavo

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Jeffery Kuave

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Jeffery Kuave

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Joseph Lelang

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Joseph Lelang

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Julie Soso

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Julie Soso

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Nixon Duban

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Nixon Duban

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Peter O'Neill

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Peter O'Neill

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Puri Ruing

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Puri Ruing

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Ron Ganarafo

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Ron Ganarafo

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Sali Subam

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Sali Subam

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Sani Rambi

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Sani Rambi

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738ef5c80d10589cfdc06752cae799da9d5Wikidata

Top issues

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Prediction components

Alex Anisi

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Charlie Benjamin

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

David Arore

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Francis Marus

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Havila Kavo

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Jeffery Kuave

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Joseph Lelang

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Julie Soso

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Nixon Duban

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Peter O'Neill

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Puri Ruing

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Ron Ganarafo

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Sali Subam

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Sani Rambi

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

100.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Other and unresolved100.0%100.0%100%

Alex Anisi

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Charlie Benjamin

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

David Arore

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Francis Marus

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Havila Kavo

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Jeffery Kuave

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Joseph Lelang

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Julie Soso

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Nixon Duban

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Peter O'Neill

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Puri Ruing

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ron Ganarafo

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Sali Subam

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Sani Rambi

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Media profile

Approval · Favorability · Negativity

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Media profile

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Strengths · Weaknesses · Attacks · Controversies

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Campaign signals

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Sources

1Papua New Guinea official constitutional institutionscitation_only · Aug 10, 2026
2WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
3Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026