.jpg){kind=link}
James Marape
Head of government Active
Prime Minister of the Independent State of Papua New Guinea · Principal · De jure
M49 598
Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea
Primary executive
Head of state
Original
https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1678465366501064705 · White House · Public Domain · Original.jpg){kind=link}
Indexed party landscape
Parties and alliances currently indexed for this jurisdiction. Active and historical labels reflect the source dataset, not an official national register.
- Tracked parties
- 63
- Active in source
- 20
- Historical in source
- 4
- parties shown
- 63
- Founded
- 1997
- Founded
- 2012
- Founded
- 2007
- Founded
- 1978
- Founded
- 2011
Pangu Party
Party Active
- Founded
- 1967
- Founded
- 1974
- Founded
- 2007
- Founded
- 1987
- Founded
- 1985
- Founded
- 2001
More parties (51)
- Founded
- 2001
- Founded
- 1993
- Founded
- 2006
- Founded
- 1969
- Founded
- 2010
- Founded
- 2012
- Founded
- 1967
- Founded
- 1997
Advance PNG Party
Party Unknown
Allegiance Party
Party Unknown
Bougainville Independence Movement
Party Unknown
Bougainville Labour Party
Party Unknown
Bougainville People's Alliance Party
Party Unknown
Bougainville People's Congress
Party Unknown
Indigenous People's Party
Party Unknown
Kingdom First Party
Party Unknown
Model Nation Party
Party Unknown
Nation Action Party
Party Unknown
Nation Transformation Party
Party Unknown
National Advance Party
Party Unknown
National Front Party
Party Unknown
New Bougainville Party
Party Unknown
New Generation Party
Party Unknown
Our Development Party
Party Unknown
Pan Melanesian Congress Party
Party Unknown
Papua Besena
Party Unknown
Papua New Guinea Constitutional Democratic Party
Party Unknown
Papua New Guinea Greens
Party Unknown
Papua New Guinea Prosperity Party
Party Unknown
Papua New Guinea Revival Party
Party Unknown
People's First Party
Party Unknown
People's Movement for Change
Party Unknown
People's National Congress Party
Party Unknown
People's United Assembly
Party Unknown
People's Unity Party
Party Unknown
People’s Reform Party
Party Unknown
People’s Resource Awareness Party
Party Unknown
PNG Conservative Party
Party Unknown
PNG Country Party
Party Unknown
PNG Destiny Party
Party Unknown
PNG Labour Party
Party Unknown
PNG National Party
Party Unknown
PNG One Nation Party
Party Unknown
Rural Development Party
Party Unknown
Star Alliance Party
Party Unknown
Triumph Heritage Empowerment Rural Party
Party Unknown
United Labour Party
Party Unknown
- Founded
- 1986
- Founded
- 1983
- Founded
- 1995
- Founded
- 1982
Prediction components
Alex Anisi
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Charlie Benjamin
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
David Arore
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Francis Marus
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Havila Kavo
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Jeffery Kuave
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Joseph Lelang
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Julie Soso
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Nixon Duban
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Peter O'Neill
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Puri Ruing
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Ron Ganarafo
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Sali Subam
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Sani Rambi
Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Other / unresolved
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Other and unresolved100.0%100.0%100%
Alex Anisi
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Charlie Benjamin
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
David Arore
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Francis Marus
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Havila Kavo
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Jeffery Kuave
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Joseph Lelang
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Julie Soso
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Nixon Duban
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Peter O'Neill
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Puri Ruing
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ron Ganarafo
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Sali Subam
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Sani Rambi
Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%
Elections
Partial2010 Bougainvillean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 15, 2010
Completed
2010 Bougainvillean presidential election
Presidential election · Head of state
Jun 10, 2010
Completed
2008 Bougainvillean presidential election
Presidential election · Head of state
Nov 30, 2008
Completed
2007 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 30, 2007
Completed
1997 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 14, 1997
Completed
1992 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 13, 1992
Completed
1987 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 13, 1987
Completed
1982 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 5, 1982
Completed
1977 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
Jun 18, 1977
Completed
2012 Papua New Guinean general election
Parliamentary election · Legislative
No scheduled election
Planned
Candidates
Partial1977 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 18, 1977
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1977 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 18, 1977
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1977 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 18, 1977
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1977 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 18, 1977
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1982 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 5, 1982
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1982 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 5, 1982
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1992 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 13, 1992
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1992 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 13, 1992
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
1997 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 14, 1997
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2007 Papua New Guinean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 30, 2007
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2010 Bougainvillean general election · Completed
Aug 9, 2026 · Jun 15, 2010
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
2012 Papua New Guinean general election · Planned
Aug 9, 2026
- Independent clusters, last 30 days
- 0
- Independent clusters, days 31–180
- 0
- Confidence
- 80.0%
Forecasts
PartialAlex Anisi
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Charlie Benjamin
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
David Arore
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Francis Marus
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Havila Kavo
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Jeffery Kuave
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Joseph Lelang
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Julie Soso
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Nixon Duban
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Peter O'Neill
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Puri Ruing
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Ron Ganarafo
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Sali Subam
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Sani Rambi
Candidacy forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Other / unresolved
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Alex Anisi
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Charlie Benjamin
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
David Arore
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Francis Marus
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Havila Kavo
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Jeffery Kuave
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Joseph Lelang
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Julie Soso
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Nixon Duban
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Peter O'Neill
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Puri Ruing
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Ron Ganarafo
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Sali Subam
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Sani Rambi
Win forecast · Preliminary
- Model
- heuristic-v1 1.0.0
- Forecast date
- Aug 9, 2026
- Seed
d87b66d59d6b32403e9ac17ae1b82738
Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.
Sources
3
- 1Papua New Guinea official constitutional institutionscitation_only · Aug 10, 2026
- 2WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
- 3Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026
Political world map
Melanesia
Papua New GuineaPrimary executive: James MarapeHead of state: Charles IIIPartial
- Complete
- Partial
- Stale
- Conflicting
- Unavailable due to licence
- Not applicable
Boundaries and names shown on this map do not imply a position by CiviOrg. Small territories without geometry remain available in the index.