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M49 434

Libya

Libya

PartialSovereign state

Libya

Head of state and presidential race

The current office holder and the people seeking, exploring or being mentioned for the same head-of-state contest.

CompletePartial

Next presidential election

Partial

No scheduled election

next Libyan presidential election

Presidential election · Head of state · Planned

Candidates
2
Registered
0
Polls
0
Forecasts
5

Presidential candidates and possible opponents

Pre-registration statuses are shown exactly as sourced. A person is marked registered only after confirmation by the electoral authority.

0 Registered

Leadership

Complete
Aug 9, 2026Sources: 1

Mohamed al-Menfi

Head of state Active

Head of State · Principal · Order 0 · De jure

Aug 9, 2026Sources: 1

Indexed party landscape

Parties and alliances currently indexed for this jurisdiction. Active and historical labels reflect the source dataset, not an official national register.

Partial
Tracked parties
10
Active in source
6
Historical in source
2
parties shown
10

Administration

Partial
Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Top issues

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

one_or_more_blocks_partial

Prediction components

Aref Ali Nayed

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

100.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Other and unresolved100.0%100.0%100%

Aref Ali Nayed

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Parties in power

Partial
Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Opposition

Partial
Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Legislature

Partial
Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Elections

Partial

2014 Libyan parliamentary election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Jun 25, 2014

Completed

2014 Libyan Constitutional Assembly election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Feb 20, 2014

Completed

2012 Libyan parliamentary election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Jul 7, 2012

Completed

1965 Libyan general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

May 8, 1965

Completed

1964 Libyan general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Oct 10, 1964

Completed

1960 Libyan general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Jan 17, 1960

Completed

1956 Libyan general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Jan 7, 1956

Completed

1952 Libyan general election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

Feb 19, 1952

Completed

next Libyan presidential election

Presidential election · Head of state

No scheduled election

Planned

next Libyan parliamentary election

Parliamentary election · Legislative

No scheduled election

Planned

Candidates

Partial

Polls

Partial
Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Forecasts

Partial

Aref Ali Nayed

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Aref Ali Nayed

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d2

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d222620122c66124773682a9b924909cb5Wikidata

Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d2

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d222620122c66124773682a9b924909cb5Wikidata

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · Preliminary

100.0%
Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d2

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d222620122c66124773682a9b924909cb5Wikidata

Aref Ali Nayed

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Aref Ali Nayed

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d2

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d222620122c66124773682a9b924909cb5Wikidata

Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d2

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: c839d58c1b78e1cb18e47072c651e7d222620122c66124773682a9b924909cb5Wikidata

Sources

3

  1. 1Party FactsCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  2. 2WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  3. 3Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026

Political world map

Northern Africa

Western Sahara. Head of state: —. Partial.Sudan. Head of state: Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. Partial.Tunisia. Head of state: Kais Saied. Partial.Algeria. Head of state: Abdelmadjid Tebboune. Stale.Morocco. Head of state: Mohammed VI of Morocco. Partial.Egypt. Head of state: Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. Partial.Libya. Head of state: Mohamed al-Menfi. Partial.
LibyaHead of state: Mohamed al-MenfiPartial
  • Complete
  • Partial
  • Stale
  • Conflicting
  • Unavailable due to licence
  • Not applicable

Boundaries and names shown on this map do not imply a position by CiviOrg. Small territories without geometry remain available in the index.