Skip to content

Central African Republic · Completed

2015–16 Central African presidential election

No scheduled election

Elections

Partial
Next national election
No scheduled election
Role
Presidential election · Head of state
Selection method
Other method
Status
Completed
Round
Dataset hash: 6174985fed9929c8bca63573765165d72230c2865b30adc5cd3535e0a14b0490Wikidata

Contest rounds

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items
Published contest rules

No additional contest rules are published.

Candidate–opponent strategy evidence

A directional comparison and factual public-message frame for each sourced pair in the same contest.

Preliminary evidence scenario, not a prediction or guarantee of an electoral result. It uses public sources, makes no causal claim and uses no demographic microtargeting. Methodology

There is not enough compatible, sourced evidence to publish a pairwise analysis for this contest yet.

Election results

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Signal

Polls

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Forecasts

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d7447091a84108850d85861b8ffcc3a3

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d7447091a84108850d85861b8ffcc3a3b903d9144f20c8181329a758286c31ffWikidata

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · Preliminary

99.8%
Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d7447091a84108850d85861b8ffcc3a3

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d7447091a84108850d85861b8ffcc3a3b903d9144f20c8181329a758286c31ffWikidata

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.3%

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

Model
heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date
Aug 9, 2026
Seed
d7447091a84108850d85861b8ffcc3a3

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: d7447091a84108850d85861b8ffcc3a3b903d9144f20c8181329a758286c31ffWikidata

Top issues

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Prediction components

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

99.8%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Other and unresolved99.8%99.8%100%

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.3%
ComponentInputApplied valueWeight
Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%
Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%
Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%
FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%
Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%
Incumbency100.0%5.0%5%
Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%
Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%
Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%
Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%
Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%
Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Media profile

Approval · Favorability · Negativity

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Media profile

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Strengths · Weaknesses · Attacks · Controversies

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Campaign signals

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Sources

2

  1. 1WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
  2. 2Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026