Mozambique · Planned

2004 Mozambican presidential election

Name: 2004 Mozambican presidential election
Location: Mozambique

No scheduled election

Elections

Partial

Jurisdiction: Mozambique
Next national election: No scheduled election
Role: Presidential election · Head of state
Selection method: Other method
Status: Planned
Round: —

Dataset hash: 3d24e6ad895874acc30f555b70d41d9eee305b0c0f7c50e25bee86ba79cdcc6fWikidata

Contest rounds

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Published contest rules

No additional contest rules are published.

Candidates

Candidate

Mentioned

Candidate

Mentioned

Candidate

Mentioned

Election results

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Signal

Afonso Dhlakama

2004 Mozambican presidential election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Armando Guebuza

2004 Mozambican presidential election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Raúl Domingos

2004 Mozambican presidential election · Planned

Aug 9, 2026

Independent clusters, last 30 days: 0
Independent clusters, days 31–180: 0
Confidence: 80.0%

MentionedSource: Wikidata · CC0-1.0

Polls

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Forecasts

Afonso Dhlakama

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Afonso Dhlakama

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Armando Guebuza

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Armando Guebuza

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Raúl Domingos

Candidacy forecast · Preliminary

5.0%

Raúl Domingos

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · Preliminary

100.0%

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Afonso Dhlakama

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Afonso Dhlakama

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Armando Guebuza

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Armando Guebuza

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Raúl Domingos

Win forecast · Preliminary

0.0%

Raúl Domingos

Model: heuristic-v1 1.0.0
Forecast date: Aug 9, 2026
Seed: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc83

Preliminary, uncalibrated heuristic. This is not a poll or a prediction from a calibrated model.

Dataset hash: 96ea3c22ab0222d8527c3adbbce8cc8340b84010fa46c89a3b92691562cd2a39Wikidata

Top issues

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

wikidata_election_items

Prediction components

Afonso Dhlakama

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Armando Guebuza

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Raúl Domingos

Candidacy forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

5.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Other / unresolved

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

100.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Other and unresolved100.0%100.0%100%

Afonso Dhlakama

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Armando Guebuza

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Raúl Domingos

Win forecast · heuristic-v1 1.0.0

0.0%

ComponentInputApplied valueWeight

Campaign strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Candidacy score5.0%5.0%100%

Compatible poll shareNo data publishedNo data published50%

Economic contextNo data publishedNo data published0%

FundraisingNo data publishedNo data published0%

Ground organizationNo data publishedNo data published0%

Incumbency0.0%0.0%5%

Last comparable party voteNo data publishedNo data published25%

Media cluster share (30 days)No data publishedNo data published20%

Media coverageNo data publishedNo data published0%

Party strengthNo data publishedNo data published0%

Social sentimentNo data publishedNo data published0%

Polling momentumNo data publishedNo data published0%

Media profile

Approval · Favorability · Negativity

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Media profile

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Strengths · Weaknesses · Attacks · Controversies

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Campaign signals

Partial

Coverage is partial and no record is currently available for this section.

source_not_registered

Sources

1Party FactsCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
2WikidataCC0-1.0 · Aug 9, 2026
3Unicode Common Locale Data RepositoryUnicode-3.0 · Aug 9, 2026